NCAA College Basketball Machine Learning Bracketology (Live)

First time here? Click here to understand the methodology used by the AMSTS Machine Learning Bracketology.

During the season (from December onwards), view the live rankings, which update every 15 minutes while a game is going on, by clicking here, which are used as inputs to the bracketology selection process.

Historic rankings are available here.

This bracket reflects the new 76-team format: 12 Opening Round games (24 teams) feed into the 64-team bracket. The lowest 12 at-large teams play for the last at-large seed lines, and the lowest 12 automatic qualifiers play for the No. 15 and No. 16 seeds. Opening Round games are marked OR in the bracket and listed in full below it.

Please note: this bracket projection is completely created by a computer, and sometimes it does computer things! Recreating the nuance that a selection committee has is not an easy task, and you may find it walking away from where the human bracketologists are coalescing. Like most algorithms, it should get better as the season progresses, so if you don't like how it looks in December, be patient!

NCAA Machine Learning Bracketology as of (2026-06-13 00:33:32):
Seed Team Pod Pod Team Seed
Chicago
1 Michigan
Buffalo
San Diego
Arizona 1
San Jose
16 ORPrairie View A&M / Lehigh ORIdaho / Howard 16
8 Iowa UCLA 8
9 Clemson Saint Mary's 9
5 Tennessee
Tampa
Oklahoma City
Vanderbilt 5
12 Akron South Florida 12
4 Virginia Nebraska 4
13 High Point McNeese 13
6 North Carolina
Philadelphia
Portland
BYU 6
11 ORMiami (OH) / Santa Clara ORSan Diego State / North Carolina State 11
3 St. John's Gonzaga 3
14 Hofstra California Baptist 14
7 Kentucky
St. Louis
St. Louis
Villanova 7
10 Virginia Commonwealth Texas 10
2 Iowa State Purdue 2
15 ORPenn / Kennesaw State Wright State 15
Houston
1 Connecticut
Philadelphia
Greenville
Duke 1
Washington DC
16 ORUMBC / Long Island ORQueens / Tennessee State 16
8 TCU Saint Louis 8
9 Georgia Ohio State 9
5 Kansas
San Diego
Portland
Texas Tech 5
12 ORMissouri / Seton Hall ORStanford / Oklahoma State 12
4 Alabama Arkansas 4
13 Northern Iowa ORUSC / Arizona State 13
6 Wisconsin
Buffalo
Greenville
Louisville 6
11 ORWest Virginia / New Mexico Central Florida 11
3 Michigan State Illinois 3
14 North Dakota State Hawaii 14
7 Utah State
Oklahoma City
Tampa
Miami 7
10 Texas A&M Auburn 10
2 Houston Florida 2
15 Troy ORSiena / Furman 15
San Jose
1 Arizona
San Diego
16 ORIdaho / Howard
8 UCLA
9 Saint Mary's
5 Vanderbilt
Oklahoma City
12 South Florida
4 Nebraska
13 McNeese
6 BYU
Portland
11 ORSan Diego State / North Carolina State
3 Gonzaga
14 California Baptist
7 Villanova
St. Louis
10 Texas
2 Purdue
15 Wright State
Washington DC
1 Duke
Greenville
16 ORQueens / Tennessee State
8 Saint Louis
9 Ohio State
5 Texas Tech
Portland
12 ORStanford / Oklahoma State
4 Arkansas
13 ORUSC / Arizona State
6 Louisville
Greenville
11 Central Florida
3 Illinois
14 Hawaii
7 Miami
Tampa
10 Auburn
2 Florida
15 ORSiena / Furman

Opening Round

The 24 lowest-seeded teams meet in 12 Opening Round games. The 12 winners advance into the 64-team bracket above. At-large teams play for the last at-large seed lines; automatic qualifiers play for the No. 15 and No. 16 seeds.

At-Large Opening Round

SeedOpening Round GameFeeds Region
11Miami (OH) vs Santa ClaraChicago
11New Mexico vs West VirginiaHouston
11North Carolina State vs San Diego StateSan Jose
12Missouri vs Seton HallHouston
12Oklahoma State vs StanfordWashington DC
13Arizona State vs USCWashington DC

Automatic-Qualifier Opening Round

SeedOpening Round GameFeeds Region
15Penn vs Kennesaw StateChicago
15Furman vs SienaWashington DC
16Lehigh vs Prairie View A&MChicago
16Long Island vs UMBCHouston
16Idaho vs HowardSan Jose
16Queens vs Tennessee StateWashington DC


Last teams in:

Number Team Bracket Rating
1 Stanford -2.62474
2 Seton Hall -2.59637
3 Arizona State -2.59421
4 New Mexico -2.47572



Next teams out:

Number Team Bracket Rating
1 SMU -2.69126
2 Dayton -2.69338
3 Tulsa -2.75612
4 Oklahoma -2.77894
5 Cincinnati -2.78587
6 Boise State -2.79998
7 Virginia Tech -2.81596
8 Florida State -2.81855